Disruption to the cruise sector in the Arabian Gulf is prompting cruise lines to reassess regional deployments, with southern Africa emerging as an area of growing interest.

Industry observers say the impact from conflict-linked disruption earlier this year, which left itineraries suspended and cruise ships in temporary lay-up in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha, could have longer-term implications for cruise deployment strategies.

Some operators are expected to remain cautious about returning to the Gulf in the near term, creating opportunities for alternative regions, according to maritime expert Brian Ingpen.

“I think the cruise industry will be a bit shy to go back to the Gulf for a while,” said Ingpen, speaking to Travel News. “It could take about a year before cruise operations return to previous levels in the region.”

The disruption centred on the Strait of Hormuz, where maritime traffic was significantly affected, leaving several cruise ships unable to continue scheduled sailings. As a result, vessels reached European waters later than planned, delaying the start of the Northern Hemisphere cruise season.

“Operators whose ships were in the Gulf during hostilities took a huge knock, because for several weeks the vessels lay idle, unable to continue with their scheduled cruises,” he said. “At considerable expense, the companies also had to repatriate their passengers – many without even boarding the ships – and non-essential crewmembers.”

Against this backdrop, southern Africa is increasingly being viewed as a viable alternative within global cruise itineraries, particularly for repositioning voyages and longer, destination-focused sailings.

Cape Town, in particular, is expected to benefit from shifting deployment patterns. Historically regarded as a secondary cruise destination compared with the Mediterranean, Caribbean, and Alaska, the port is now gaining attention as part of extended itineraries linking Europe, Asia, and the Middle East, where the cruise industry has shown resilience to past crises.

“A voyage to Cape Town from the Mediterranean or even western Europe could be marketed as a leisurely two-week blue-water experience with stops in Las Palmas, Cape Verde and possibly Walvis Bay,” Ingpen said.

Further along the coast, Durban is already reporting increased cruise activity, offering a near-term indicator of growing interest in South African ports.

Speaking at the opening of Africa’s Travel Indaba in Durban, Mayor Cyril Xaba said the city’s tourism sector is showing signs of recovery, supported in part by cruise arrivals through the Nelson Mandela Cruise Terminal.

Since December, dozens of vessels have called in Durban, bringing thousands of international visitors and contributing to local economic activity. The uptick forms part of a broader recovery in visitor numbers, alongside major events hosted in the city.

Xaba said safety and infrastructure remain priorities as the city seeks to strengthen its appeal to international visitors. “We understand that visitors and residents alike must feel safe and secure. Through smart policing interventions, the deployment of advanced survey-surveillance technologies, increased metro police visibility, partnerships with law enforcement agencies, and improved precinct management,” he said.

The convergence of external disruption and local recovery efforts highlights a potential shift in how cruise lines approach global deployment, with southern Africa positioned as both a contingency option and a longer-term growth market.

While industry figures caution against expecting a rapid influx of ships, the region’s inclusion in more itineraries reflects a gradual repositioning of demand, particularly for longer voyages that combine transit and destination experiences.